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Red197
19565.8
728553.9
303963.6
Blue171
859257.4
90054.1
17956.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191169120140160180200220240260197171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#18
65.80.4
65.566.0
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
red by 8.4
8592
#23
57.40.1
57.157.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End6.0
Second
63.60.4
63.363.7
Auto16.3
Teleop38.2
End7.9
red by 7.6
179
#12
56.00.1
55.855.9
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End6.9
Third
7285
#45
53.90.4
53.553.9
Auto14.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
blue by 0.2
900
#5
54.10.1
54.054.1
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End8.5