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Red157
347852.0
102350.6
299256.9
Blue162
318459.7
174658.1
432950.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171174100120140160200220240260157162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.1
57.357.2
Auto14.4
Teleop33.6
End8.4
blue by 2.8
3184
#24
59.70.1
58.858.6
Auto15.4
Teleop35.4
End6.6
Second
3478
#43
52.00.1
52.352.3
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End8.2
blue by 6.1
1746
#14
58.10.1
57.257.0
Auto13.1
Teleop35.6
End8.9
Third
1023
#19
50.60.1
50.950.9
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End8.0
red by 0.2
50.40.1
50.350.2
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End9.7