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Red174
414364.0
490957.5
153864.9
Blue197
303963.6
728553.9
19565.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191189160170180200210220174197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#13
64.90.1
64.564.4
Auto15.3
Teleop39.8
End8.9
blue by 0.9
195
#18
65.80.4
66.066.4
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
Second
64.00.1
63.763.6
Auto16.5
Teleop34.6
End10.9
red by 0.5
63.60.4
63.764.2
Auto16.3
Teleop38.2
End7.9
Third
4909
#27
57.50.1
57.257.0
Auto14.9
Teleop32.5
End9.0
red by 3.6
7285
#45
53.90.4
53.954.3
Auto14.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2