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Red122
568754.1
271341.2
15729.1
Blue128
632435.8
13136.1
492518.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13791050150200122128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.0
54.154.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.7
End6.1
red by 18.0
131
#20
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto8.8
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Second
2713
#12
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
red by 5.4
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.1
End6.1
Third
157
#17
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.3
Teleop12.4
End5.7
red by 10.7
4925
#23
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End7.3