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Red145
490944.0
13369.4
13076.9
Blue86
632435.8
13136.1
492518.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1349105015020025014586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
69.40.0
69.469.4
Auto18.1
Teleop38.7
End12.3
red by 33.3
131
#20
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto8.8
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Second
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto13.1
Teleop23.7
End6.9
red by 8.2
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.1
End6.1
Third
1307
#22
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.9
End1.3
blue by 11.5
4925
#23
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End7.3