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Red106
192243.6
23839.5
183117.5
Blue126
581340.7
237044.3
17232.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104129050150200250300106126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#13
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto11.3
Teleop24.8
End7.4
blue by 0.7
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.3
End6.2
Second
238
#19
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
blue by 1.2
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0
Third
1831
#18
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1
blue by 14.6
172
#15
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4