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Red130
172125.4
804647.9
767439.0
Blue102
5828.9
31939.3
454624.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12396050150200250130102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#16
47.90.0
47.947.9
Auto12.6
Teleop25.7
End9.1
red by 8.7
319
#9
39.30.0
39.339.3
Auto14.7
Teleop21.2
End3.2
Second
7674
#14
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End10.4
red by 10.2
58
#4
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End6.1
Third
1721
#11
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2
red by 0.8
4546
#21
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End8.2