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Red97
135018.3
109924.6
804646.6
Blue68
590221.1
234242.5
526527.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817640601001209768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.61.1
37.939.0
Auto13.4
Teleop23.7
End9.4
red by 4.1
42.50.3
32.532.2
Auto13.8
Teleop20.2
End8.6
Second
1099
#21
24.61.1
22.924.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.3
blue by 3.3
5265
#25
27.80.3
21.321.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.4
End6.1
Third
1350
#35
18.31.1
14.515.6
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End6.0
blue by 2.8
5902
#40
21.10.3
18.518.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed