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Red123
172933.3
17229.4
264836.3
Blue54
490625.5
731416.6
147421.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions944902040608012014012354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#17
36.32.7
28.731.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End7.0
red by 10.8
4906
#33
25.50.2
21.121.0
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End7.4
Second
1729
#20
33.32.7
27.330.0
Auto10.0
Teleop15.3
End8.1
red by 11.7
1474
#31
21.60.2
15.114.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End4.6
Third
172
#18
29.42.7
26.629.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End5.3
red by 12.8
7314
#41
16.60.2
15.215.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed