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Red66
17229.4
81127.3
905520.0
Blue53
689522.8
526527.8
676219.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565620304050607080906653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#18
29.41.0
24.725.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End5.3
red by 1.6
5265
#25
27.80.5
22.021.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.4
End6.1
Second
811
#13
27.31.0
16.717.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End8.2
red by 4.5
6895
#39
22.80.5
21.320.9
Auto8.0
Teleop10.3
End4.5
Third
9055
#14
20.01.0
9.210.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.5
red by 0.5
6762
#19
19.60.7
11.510.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed