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Red70
615337.9
490625.5
791327.5
Blue92
447326.4
454624.6
172933.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74725560658085907092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.1
28.428.4
Auto12.7
Teleop17.8
End7.4
red by 4.6
1729
#20
33.31.6
24.426.0
Auto10.0
Teleop15.3
End8.1
Second
7913
#26
27.50.1
21.221.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End5.6
red by 1.1
4473
#22
26.41.6
22.424.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End7.2
Third
4906
#33
25.50.1
19.519.6
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End7.4
red by 0.9
4546
#27
24.61.6
20.622.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned