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Red43
403418.5
731416.6
264836.3
Blue112
109924.6
172125.4
767439.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66682040608010043112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#17
36.31.6
29.527.8
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End7.0
blue by 2.7
7674
#23
39.02.1
28.330.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End10.4
Second
4034
#32
18.52.7
17.014.2
Auto11.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 6.9
1721
#24
25.42.1
14.816.9
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2
Third
7314
#41
16.61.6
16.114.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End5.6
blue by 7.9
1099
#21
24.62.1
20.722.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsEarned