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Red69
124720.6
50927.3
5842.6
Blue102
172125.4
403418.5
31948.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9086020030040069102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#6
42.61.3
36.735.4
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.5
blue by 6.0
319
#5
48.71.4
44.445.8
Auto14.1
Teleop27.0
End7.6
Second
509
#36
27.31.3
25.123.7
Auto11.0
Teleop10.0
End6.2
red by 1.9
1721
#24
25.41.4
19.721.1
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2
Third
1247
#10
20.61.3
21.920.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.4
End5.0
red by 2.1
4034
#32
18.52.3
17.119.4
Auto11.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned