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Red116
910124.6
526527.8
804646.6
Blue100
791327.5
13139.9
264836.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83894060100120140116100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.62.5
40.242.7
Auto13.4
Teleop23.7
End9.4
red by 6.7
131
#11
39.91.2
28.129.3
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End7.0
Second
5265
#25
27.82.5
22.124.6
Auto9.4
Teleop12.4
End6.1
blue by 8.4
2648
#17
36.31.2
31.833.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Third
9101
#15
24.63.3
16.319.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End6.3
blue by 2.9
7913
#26
27.51.2
22.623.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed