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Red136
632966.8
456443.2
109924.6
Blue85
172933.3
636719.4
81127.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1426505010020013685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.8
61.462.3
Auto16.5
Teleop40.8
End9.3
red by 33.5
1729
#20
33.30.9
32.633.5
Auto10.0
Teleop15.3
End8.1
Second
43.20.8
38.639.4
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End6.3
red by 16.0
811
#13
27.30.9
20.721.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End8.2
Third
1099
#21
24.60.8
23.524.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.3
red by 5.2
6367
#37
19.40.9
17.818.7
Auto10.7
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed