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Red91
767439.0
689522.8
151228.2
Blue104
905520.0
676219.6
13361.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8494406010012014091104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7674
#23
39.00.0
33.733.6
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End10.4
blue by 22.2
133
#2
61.20.8
56.156.9
Auto19.3
Teleop30.2
End11.8
Second
1512
#38
28.20.0
26.726.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
red by 8.2
9055
#14
20.00.8
15.015.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.5
Third
6895
#39
22.80.0
19.319.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.3
End4.5
red by 3.2
6762
#19
19.60.8
15.816.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned