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Red108
456443.2
234242.5
905520.0
Blue135
5842.6
13139.9
50128.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211390100120130140150108135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.2
43.443.2
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End6.3
red by 0.6
58
#6
42.60.7
40.741.3
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.5
Second
42.50.2
42.742.5
Auto13.8
Teleop20.2
End8.6
red by 2.5
131
#11
39.90.7
38.038.7
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End7.0
Third
9055
#14
20.00.2
20.220.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.5
blue by 8.2
501
#34
28.20.7
26.326.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.8
End8.3