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Red102
490625.5
31948.7
804646.6
Blue134
5842.6
13139.9
50128.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331116080100120140160180200102134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#5
48.70.4
49.148.7
Auto14.1
Teleop27.0
End7.6
red by 6.0
58
#6
42.60.6
41.341.9
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.5
Second
46.60.4
47.046.6
Auto13.4
Teleop23.7
End9.4
red by 6.7
131
#11
39.90.6
38.739.3
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End7.0
Third
4906
#33
25.50.4
26.025.5
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End7.4
blue by 2.7
501
#34
28.20.6
26.927.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.8
End8.3