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Red120
804647.9
332326.6
346762.9
Blue111
192247.3
13135.8
183117.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152101050200250120111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.90.0
62.962.9
Auto15.6
Teleop36.4
End8.7
red by 15.6
47.30.0
47.347.3
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End7.6
Second
8046
#17
47.90.0
47.947.9
Auto12.6
Teleop25.7
End9.1
red by 12.2
131
#11
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
Third
3323
#28
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End7.6
red by 9.0
1831
#19
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1