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Red130
172932.8
107339.9
172125.4
Blue108
105831.3
791335.5
50125.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10697050150130108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.6
End7.3
red by 4.4
7913
#13
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End8.1
Second
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End6.3
red by 1.6
1058
#15
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.6
End6.5
Third
1721
#24
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2
red by 0.5
501
#25
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End7.0