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Red131
16642.0
872450.2
23838.2
Blue99
767439.0
676334.8
790714.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1478605010020013199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8724
#21
50.20.0
50.250.2
Auto14.3
Teleop27.3
End7.3
red by 11.2
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End10.4
Second
166
#4
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End7.4
red by 7.1
6763
#18
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Third
238
#5
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.7
End7.3
red by 24.0
7907
#10
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.8