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Red112
192247.3
13135.8
183117.5
Blue106
172125.4
107339.9
172932.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108104406080120140160112106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.0
47.347.3
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End7.6
red by 7.4
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Second
131
#11
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
red by 2.9
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End6.3
Third
1831
#19
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1
blue by 7.9
1721
#24
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2