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Red112
107332.6
13832.4
192229.5
Blue78
23829.6
731416.1
568743.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8188406010012014011278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#20
32.62.8
27.430.3
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End6.6
blue by 11.0
43.60.9
37.736.8
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Second
138
#6
32.43.9
28.232.0
Auto7.7
Teleop18.6
End6.2
red by 2.8
238
#10
29.60.7
27.026.3
Auto11.2
Teleop11.3
End7.0
Third
29.53.9
21.625.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End6.6
red by 13.4
7314
#25
16.10.7
16.716.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed