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Red96
124720.5
346749.3
287623.1
Blue41
693326.8
549112.7
345118.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88714060801001201409641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.31.4
43.044.4
Auto14.2
Teleop25.7
End9.4
red by 22.6
26.83.1
30.427.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.9
End6.2
Second
2876
#14
23.11.7
19.621.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End7.2
red by 4.8
3451
#32
18.33.1
20.317.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End6.8
Third
1247
#13
20.51.7
17.919.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End4.8
red by 7.8
5491
#24
12.73.1
18.014.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed