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Red92
23829.6
872429.4
107332.6
Blue79
404127.5
9538.2
50119.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969160801001201409279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#20
32.60.1
31.831.9
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End6.6
blue by 5.6
95
#4
38.20.2
38.438.2
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End6.8
Second
238
#10
29.60.1
28.828.9
Auto11.2
Teleop11.3
End7.0
red by 2.1
27.50.2
27.727.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End6.2
Third
8724
#11
29.40.1
28.628.7
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.4
red by 9.7
501
#22
19.60.2
19.819.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End8.2