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Red68
13124.8
676323.9
456440.8
Blue111
404127.5
9538.2
50119.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008840608012014016068111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.8
41.640.8
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End7.1
red by 2.7
95
#4
38.20.9
37.538.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End6.8
Second
131
#19
24.80.8
25.624.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.8
End6.4
blue by 2.7
27.50.6
27.127.7
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End6.2
Third
6763
#21
23.90.8
24.723.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.2
End4.2
red by 4.3
501
#22
19.60.7
19.119.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End8.2