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Red141
568743.6
346749.3
802323.1
Blue119
107332.6
872429.4
23829.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120906080100140160141119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.7
47.348.0
Auto14.2
Teleop25.7
End9.4
red by 16.7
1073
#20
32.60.5
31.431.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
43.60.9
40.741.7
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End9.0
red by 14.0
238
#10
29.60.5
28.328.8
Auto11.2
Teleop11.3
End7.0
Third
8023
#31
23.10.9
20.521.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End8.0
blue by 6.3
8724
#11
29.40.5
28.128.6
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.4