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Red111
13124.8
676323.9
456440.8
Blue85
151224.7
105825.9
192229.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9883406012014011185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.7
40.941.6
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End7.1
red by 11.3
29.50.2
29.329.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End6.6
Second
131
#19
24.80.7
24.925.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.8
End6.4
blue by 1.0
1058
#12
25.90.1
25.725.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End6.1
Third
6763
#21
23.90.7
24.024.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.2
End4.2
blue by 0.8
1512
#17
24.70.1
24.624.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3