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Red95
13832.4
693326.8
46720.5
Blue103
50119.6
9538.2
404127.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848860708010011012095103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#6
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto7.7
Teleop18.6
End6.2
blue by 5.8
95
#4
38.20.7
36.837.5
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End6.8
Second
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto6.6
Teleop13.9
End6.2
blue by 0.7
27.50.5
26.627.1
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End6.2
Third
467
#18
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.4
End7.2
red by 0.8
501
#22
19.60.5
18.619.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End8.2