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Red110
23829.6
872429.4
107332.6
Blue98
456440.8
676323.9
13124.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91955015011098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#20
32.60.5
30.831.4
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End6.6
blue by 8.2
40.80.3
40.640.9
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End7.1
Second
238
#10
29.60.5
27.828.3
Auto11.2
Teleop11.3
End7.0
red by 4.7
131
#19
24.80.3
24.624.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.8
End6.4
Third
8724
#11
29.40.5
27.628.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.4
red by 5.5
6763
#21
23.90.3
23.724.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.2
End4.2