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Red94
50119.6
9538.2
404127.5
Blue126
107332.6
872429.4
23829.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8591406010012014094126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#4
38.20.4
36.136.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End6.8
red by 5.6
1073
#20
32.60.5
30.430.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
27.50.3
26.126.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End6.2
blue by 2.1
238
#10
29.60.5
27.327.8
Auto11.2
Teleop11.3
End7.0
Third
501
#22
19.60.3
18.118.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End8.2
blue by 9.7
8724
#11
29.40.5
27.127.6
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.4