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Red99
13124.8
676323.9
456440.8
Blue86
287623.1
870823.6
791321.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98664060801201401609986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.4
40.340.6
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End7.1
red by 17.2
23.60.5
23.023.5
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Second
131
#19
24.80.4
24.324.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.8
End6.4
red by 1.7
2876
#14
23.10.5
22.523.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End7.2
Third
6763
#21
23.90.4
23.423.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.2
End4.2
red by 2.7
7913
#26
21.20.5
20.621.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End5.2