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Red58
999922.1
454624.6
31947.9
Blue70
234237.1
596216.5
172932.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77950501502005870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#14
47.90.0
47.947.9
Auto15.9
Teleop26.9
End4.9
red by 10.8
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.5
End6.3
Second
4546
#23
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End8.2
blue by 8.2
1729
#20
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End6.3
Third
9999
#21
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End4.4
red by 5.6
5962
#22
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability odds18%Sustainability odds
Activation
54%Activation odds58%Activation odds