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Qual 112023 Mayhem In Merrimack
Red111
581348.1
173535.7
870833.7
Blue107
172125.4
16642.0
676334.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128106050150200250111107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#7
48.10.0
48.1→48.1
Auto10.4
Teleop29.7
End7.6
red by 6.1
166
#10
42.00.0
42.0→42.0
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End7.4
Second
1735
#16
35.70.0
35.7→35.7
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End6.0
red by 0.8
6763
#12
34.80.0
34.8→34.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Third
8708
#4
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End7.8
red by 8.3
1721
#19
25.40.0
25.4→25.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability odds33%Sustainability odds
Activation
74%Activation odds52%Activation odds