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Red151
173535.7
13135.8
632849.6
Blue85
31947.9
676219.6
581348.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13012305010015020025030015185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#13
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
red by 1.5
48.10.0
48.148.1
Auto10.4
Teleop29.7
End7.6
Second
131
#1
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
blue by 12.2
319
#14
47.90.0
47.947.9
Auto15.9
Teleop26.9
End4.9
Third
1735
#16
35.70.0
35.735.7
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End6.0
red by 16.1
6762
#24
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End3.3