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Red142
23838.2
7848.7
172125.4
Blue104
16642.0
234237.1
24640.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118130050100150200250300142104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#6
48.70.0
48.748.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.3
End8.8
red by 6.7
166
#10
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End7.4
Second
238
#2
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.7
End7.3
blue by 2.6
246
#5
40.80.0
40.840.8
Auto10.4
Teleop21.9
End7.9
Third
1721
#19
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2
blue by 11.7
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.5
End6.3