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Red134
23838.2
7848.7
172125.4
Blue124
107339.9
15729.1
50125.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12397050150200250134124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#6
48.70.0
48.748.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.3
End8.8
red by 8.8
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Second
238
#2
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.7
End7.3
red by 9.0
157
#11
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.3
Teleop12.4
End5.7
Third
1721
#19
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End7.2
red by 0.5
501
#9
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End7.0