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Red144
13135.8
676334.8
632849.6
Blue97
16642.0
234237.1
24640.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912810011012014014497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#13
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
red by 7.6
166
#10
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End7.4
Second
131
#1
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
blue by 5.0
246
#5
40.80.0
40.840.8
Auto10.4
Teleop21.9
End7.9
Third
6763
#12
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
blue by 2.2
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.5
End6.3