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Red127
23838.2
7848.7
105831.3
Blue109
271344.3
870833.7
172932.8
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127117050100150200250300127109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#6
48.70.0
48.748.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.3
End8.8
red by 4.4
2713
#18
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto9.1
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Second
238
#2
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.7
End7.3
red by 4.4
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End7.8
Third
1058
#15
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.6
End6.5
blue by 1.6
1729
#20
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End6.3