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Red141
173535.7
676334.8
632849.6
Blue124
107339.9
15729.1
50125.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13396050150200250300141124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#13
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
red by 9.7
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Second
1735
#16
35.70.0
35.735.7
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End6.0
red by 6.5
157
#11
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.3
Teleop12.4
End5.7
Third
6763
#12
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
red by 9.9
501
#9
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End7.0