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Red168
173537.5
115338.2
346760.4
Blue129
870833.2
13136.1
192243.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401196080100160180200168129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.9
58.759.6
Auto15.0
Teleop35.4
End8.7
red by 16.8
1922
#29
43.60.3
43.944.2
Auto11.3
Teleop24.8
End7.4
Second
1153
#28
38.20.9
36.537.4
Auto10.3
Teleop20.7
End7.0
red by 2.1
131
#10
36.10.3
36.436.7
Auto8.8
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Third
1735
#17
37.50.9
35.836.7
Auto9.5
Teleop20.7
End7.0
red by 4.3
33.20.3
33.533.8
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7