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Red116
271341.2
581340.7
176849.9
Blue129
870833.2
13136.1
192243.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139118406080100160180200116129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.4
50.349.9
Auto11.4
Teleop31.9
End5.5
red by 6.3
1922
#29
43.60.4
43.543.9
Auto11.3
Teleop24.8
End7.4
Second
2713
#15
41.20.4
41.641.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
red by 5.1
131
#10
36.10.4
36.036.4
Auto8.8
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Third
5813
#23
40.70.4
41.140.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0
red by 7.5
33.20.4
33.133.5
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7