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Red150
192243.6
13136.1
870833.2
Blue141
13839.7
676334.4
175746.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116128050100150200250300350150141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#29
43.60.9
42.643.5
Auto11.3
Teleop24.8
End7.4
blue by 2.8
1757
#18
46.40.5
45.946.4
Auto12.3
Teleop24.2
End8.9
Second
131
#10
36.10.9
35.136.0
Auto8.8
Teleop20.6
End6.6
blue by 3.6
138
#20
39.70.5
39.239.7
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Third
33.20.9
32.233.1
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7
blue by 1.2
34.40.5
33.934.4
Auto8.4
Teleop17.2
End9.3