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Red68
31939.3
81118.5
581340.7
Blue104
105828.7
16639.5
632435.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611305010015020068104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#23
40.73.1
48.144.9
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0
red by 1.3
166
#22
39.50.2
42.041.7
Auto5.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
319
#26
39.33.1
39.936.7
Auto14.7
Teleop21.2
End3.2
red by 3.4
6324
#16
35.80.2
34.334.1
Auto11.9
Teleop18.1
End6.1
Third
811
#31
18.53.1
27.324.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End7.0
blue by 10.2
1058
#12
28.70.2
31.331.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsMissed