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Red130
346760.4
50124.9
870833.2
Blue123
83916.0
13839.7
998136.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13083050100150200130123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.0
57.656.6
Auto15.0
Teleop35.4
End8.7
red by 20.7
138
#20
39.73.2
40.343.5
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Second
33.21.0
33.732.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7
blue by 2.8
36.05.3
18.724.0
Auto8.8
Teleop20.8
End6.4
Third
501
#13
24.91.0
25.023.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.5
End6.4
red by 8.9
839
#30
16.03.2
16.319.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned