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Red101
50124.9
226222.1
998136.0
Blue71
81118.5
173537.5
115338.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810205015020025030035040010171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.03.4
28.932.2
Auto8.8
Teleop20.8
End6.4
blue by 2.2
1153
#28
38.21.4
35.934.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.7
End7.0
Second
501
#13
24.92.0
22.624.7
Auto6.3
Teleop12.5
End6.4
blue by 12.6
1735
#17
37.51.4
35.233.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.7
End7.0
Third
22.12.0
19.121.1
Auto11.5
Teleop4.7
End6.2
red by 3.7
811
#31
18.51.4
20.719.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed