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Red101
192243.6
13136.1
870833.2
Blue87
50933.9
105828.7
872433.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211015015020010187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#29
43.60.2
42.842.6
Auto11.3
Teleop24.8
End7.4
red by 9.7
509
#24
33.90.2
34.133.9
Auto11.4
Teleop15.3
End7.3
Second
131
#10
36.10.2
35.435.1
Auto8.8
Teleop20.6
End6.6
red by 2.4
33.70.2
33.933.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End6.7
Third
33.20.2
32.532.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7
red by 4.5
1058
#12
28.70.2
28.928.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5