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Red102
50124.9
105828.7
50933.9
Blue83
16639.5
172933.1
81118.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9299020030040050010283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#24
33.90.2
33.934.1
Auto11.4
Teleop15.3
End7.3
blue by 5.6
166
#22
39.50.3
39.839.5
Auto5.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
1058
#12
28.70.2
28.728.9
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5
blue by 4.4
1729
#27
33.10.3
33.433.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End8.9
Third
501
#13
24.90.2
24.724.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.5
End6.4
red by 6.4
811
#31
18.50.3
18.818.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End7.0