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Red120
23839.5
14749.4
31939.3
Blue153
8840.3
998819.5
998136.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90105050150200250120153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
39.50.8
38.839.5
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
blue by 0.8
88
#11
40.31.4
38.940.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End9.1
Second
319
#26
39.30.8
38.539.3
Auto14.7
Teleop21.2
End3.2
red by 3.2
36.02.3
33.736.1
Auto8.8
Teleop20.8
End6.4
Third
1474
#25
9.40.8
8.79.4
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End2.9
blue by 10.0
9988
#14
19.52.3
17.219.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End5.9