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Red169
599224.6
253968.6
192358.9
Blue151
260152.5
589563.0
69454.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157158120130140150170180190169151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.7
68.268.9
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End10.2
red by 5.6
63.00.8
61.260.5
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End9.9
Second
58.90.7
57.758.4
Auto12.7
Teleop37.9
End9.3
red by 4.4
694
#3
54.50.8
54.353.6
Auto8.9
Teleop39.8
End3.9
Third
5992
#25
24.60.7
26.026.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End4.3
blue by 27.9
2601
#14
52.50.8
49.949.2
Auto14.4
Teleop29.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned